XFINITY • CHAMPIONSHIP SCENARIO CENTER 2.0

Cutline Paths

Official Xfinity standings • Latest official round: R5 • Next: R6 Kansas

Live Tracker

CURRENT CUT115 ptsP16

RACES REMAINING2111 before Chase

RULES-BASED MAX / RACE7355 race + 12 stage + 2 qualifying + up to 4 observed bonus

CUTLINE SWING+3gap 7 → 10

HOW TO READ THIS

What Each Driver Needs

Scenario math uses current official standings and the active NextGen-style scoring rules (55 race + 12 stage + 2 qualifying, plus any event bonus pattern already present in official results). Each card now states the points swing the driver needs relative to the current leader or cutoff. These are mathematical paths, not finish predictions, and ties are shown conservatively by requiring an outright points advantage.

CHASE QUALIFICATION PATHS

Scenario Cards

#42 Kevin Winker P4P#9 194 pts

—

ABOVE CUT+79 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+89

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 89-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

#1 Joshua Seigfried P4P#5 MACHINE#7 189 pts

—

ABOVE CUT+74 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+84

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 84-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

#90 Pat Green 179 pts

—

ABOVE CUT+64 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+74

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 74-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

#18 Johnathan Casebere P4P#16 WANTED#12 167 pts

—

ABOVE CUT+52 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+62

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 62-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

#29 Tyler Lemon Xfinity / O'Reilly2× P4P#11 MACHINE#3 165 pts

▲ 6

ABOVE CUT+50 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+60

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 60-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

#02 R.B. Turner P4P#13 WANTED#17 165 pts

—

ABOVE CUT+50 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+60

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 60-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

#94 Fred Chase WANTED#20 155 pts

▲ 3

ABOVE CUT+40 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+50

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 50-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

#49 Robert Dudley WANTED#16 MACHINE#8 151 pts

—

ABOVE CUT+36 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+46

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 46-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

#28 Clint Hackett P4P#15 WANTED#19 150 pts

—

ABOVE CUT+35 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+45

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 45-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P10

#19 Cameron D Derieux P4P#14 WANTED#5 MACHINE#10 145 pts

▼-5

ABOVE CUT+30 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+40

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 40-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P11

#25 Brad Dove P4P#10 WANTED#15 MACHINE#9 135 pts

▲ 3

ABOVE CUT+20 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+30

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 30-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P12

#15 Tyler Dudley 135 pts

▲ 3

ABOVE CUT+20 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+30

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 30-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P13

#9 Michael Daniels5 124 pts

▼-1

ABOVE CUT+9 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+19

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 19-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P14

#47 Rick L Kennedy Jr 121 pts

▼-7

ABOVE CUT+6 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+16

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 16-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P15

#3 Austin Knight4 WANTED#9 MACHINE#1 120 pts

▲ 1

ABOVE CUT+5 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+15

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 15-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P16

#31 Michael Coulter Jr 115 pts

▲ 1

ABOVE CUT+0 to the current cut; 11 regular-season races left.

First out+10

Minimum Swing Needed0

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Protect a 10-point cushion over the first driver outside the Chase.

There are 11 regular-season races left before the Chase field locks.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P17

#89 Blake A. Dudley Xfinity / O'Reilly1× 105 pts

▲ 4

NEEDS GROUND10 points to the current cut with 11 regular-season races left.

Current cut-10

Minimum Swing Needed11

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Gain at least 11 points on the current P16 cutoff to move above it outright.

That is an average net gain of about 1 point per remaining regular-season race versus the cutoff.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P18

#55 John Hammond5 103 pts

▼-5

NEEDS GROUND12 points to the current cut with 11 regular-season races left.

Current cut-12

Minimum Swing Needed13

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Gain at least 13 points on the current P16 cutoff to move above it outright.

That is an average net gain of about 2 points per remaining regular-season race versus the cutoff.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P19

#2 Michael Leytham 100 pts

▼-1

NEEDS GROUND15 points to the current cut with 11 regular-season races left.

Current cut-15

Minimum Swing Needed16

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Gain at least 16 points on the current P16 cutoff to move above it outright.

That is an average net gain of about 2 points per remaining regular-season race versus the cutoff.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P20

#24 Mark Roettgen2 P4P#19 WANTED#7 92 pts

—

NEEDS GROUND23 points to the current cut with 11 regular-season races left.

Current cut-23

Minimum Swing Needed24

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Gain at least 24 points on the current P16 cutoff to move above it outright.

That is an average net gain of about 3 points per remaining regular-season race versus the cutoff.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P21

#5 Robert Church WANTED#4 80 pts

▲ 3

NEEDS GROUND35 points to the current cut with 11 regular-season races left.

Current cut-35

Minimum Swing Needed36

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Gain at least 36 points on the current P16 cutoff to move above it outright.

That is an average net gain of about 4 points per remaining regular-season race versus the cutoff.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P22

#00 Ryan Wenndt WANTED#10 78 pts

▲ 1

NEEDS GROUND37 points to the current cut with 11 regular-season races left.

Current cut-37

Minimum Swing Needed38

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Gain at least 38 points on the current P16 cutoff to move above it outright.

That is an average net gain of about 4 points per remaining regular-season race versus the cutoff.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P23

#13 Jerry Culver WANTED#14 69 pts

▼-4

NEEDS GROUND46 points to the current cut with 11 regular-season races left.

Current cut-46

Minimum Swing Needed47

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Gain at least 47 points on the current P16 cutoff to move above it outright.

That is an average net gain of about 5 points per remaining regular-season race versus the cutoff.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

P24

#12 Donnell Williams 63 pts

▲ 2

NEEDS GROUND52 points to the current cut with 11 regular-season races left.

Current cut-52

Minimum Swing Needed53

Points Available1533

WHAT THIS DRIVER NEEDS

Gain at least 53 points on the current P16 cutoff to move above it outright.

That is an average net gain of about 5 points per remaining regular-season race versus the cutoff.

Inside the current mathematical scoring range.

ROAD AHEAD

Remaining Championship Schedule

R6Kansas2026-10-31

R7San Diego / Naval Base Coronado2026-11-14

R8Indianapolis2026-11-21

R9Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez - Oval2026-11-28

R10Bristol2026-12-12

R11Nashville Fairgrounds2026-12-19

R12Dover2026-12-26

R13New Atlanta2027-01-09

R14Watkins Glen2027-01-16

R15Charlotte2027-01-23

R16New Hampshire2027-02-06

R17Phoenix2027-02-13CHASE

R18Michigan2027-02-20CHASE

R19Martinsville2027-03-06CHASE

R20Talladega2027-03-13CHASE

R21Homestead2027-03-20CHASE

R22Richmond2027-04-03CHASE

R23Texas2027-04-10CHASE

R24Las Vegas2027-04-17CHASE

R25Rockingham2027-05-01CHASE

R26Auto Club2027-05-08CHASE